Archive for January, 2008

Russia’s gold rush

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

Russia’s billionaires are moving into gold.

A glimpse of the future

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

Jeff Miller thinks that yesterday’s stock market action offered clues about what might be happening in the future.

More bad news for the dollar

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

Roman Dutkewych says it doesn’t look good for 2008.

The Wisdom of Crowds

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

The Wisdom of Crowds helps explain the rise in gold.

The misuse of data

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

Want a sure way to not make money? Sit around and worry about whether we’re in a recession or not:

We wonder how anyone can state with 100% certainty that we are “now in a recession.” Or the opposite. If a recession occurs, something that no one knows yet, the actual dating of the beginning by the NBER will be the prior peak. It might include the current period. If there is a bounce in the economy, it will not. Many of those so certain about a recession have been (mis-)predicting the economy for years. There is no statute of limitations. The media points out that these people saw the problem early, as if it were praiseworthy to miss major market gains.

Why the Fed will cut 50 bp today

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

Trader Thoughts on why the Fed will cut 50 basis points today.

Silver in surplus?

Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

There’s no such thing.

10 ways we get the odds wrong

Monday, January 28th, 2008

From Psychology Today.

Why gold stocks are like the 1934 Word Series

Sunday, January 27th, 2008

Don’t make the mistake Hank Greenberg made. Swing.

About those bear markets…

Saturday, January 26th, 2008

Here’s what to expect.